How do systematic risk spillovers reshape investment outcomes?

Abstract

We investigate the effects of domestic and cross-border systematic risk spillovers on corporate investment metrics, using stock indices comprising 212 energy firms across 36 countries, spanning July 1, 2009, to August 31, 2023, sourced from S&P Global Commodity Insights®. The two-layered network underscores the catastrophic consequences induced by the Russia–Ukraine conflict in Europe. Our regression results designate that systematic risk spillovers composed of domestic and cross-border risks hinder corporate real investments while encouraging new investments and diminishing inefficiencies. Yet geopolitical risk amplifies these risks, leading to broader disruptions in investment behaviors.